Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.026913 0.028857 0.030882 0.033151 0.035626 0.038248 0.041240
2025-06-22 0.023556 0.026301 0.029305 0.032846 0.036923 0.041485 0.047001
2025-06-29 0.021086 0.024254 0.027850 0.032255 0.037538 0.043710 0.051522
2025-07-06 0.019723 0.023250 0.027375 0.032594 0.039077 0.046934 0.057288
2025-07-13 0.018477 0.022230 0.026733 0.032587 0.040079 0.049455 0.062254
2025-07-20 0.017613 0.021582 0.026452 0.032942 0.041477 0.052480 0.068005
2025-07-27 0.016642 0.020714 0.025811 0.032750 0.042099 0.054471 0.072451
2025-08-03 0.015785 0.019928 0.025207 0.032536 0.042630 0.056317 0.076769
2025-08-10 0.015034 0.019229 0.024661 0.032341 0.043139 0.058120 0.081102
2025-08-17 0.014388 0.018627 0.024200 0.032216 0.043708 0.060005 0.085648
2025-08-24 0.013686 0.017911 0.023541 0.031764 0.043763 0.061120 0.089073
2025-08-31 0.013004 0.017186 0.022830 0.031189 0.043588 0.061858 0.091930
2025-09-07 0.012458 0.016630 0.022332 0.030901 0.043826 0.063239 0.095931
2025-09-14 0.011961 0.016120 0.021874 0.030643 0.044086 0.064658 0.100085
2025-09-21 0.011416 0.015517 0.021253 0.030105 0.043875 0.065308 0.102983
2025-09-28 0.011162 0.015318 0.021205 0.030418 0.044994 0.068130 0.109776
2025-10-05 0.010833 0.014997 0.020959 0.030412 0.045597 0.070134 0.115284
2025-10-12 0.010617 0.014830 0.020932 0.030738 0.046744 0.073097 0.122731
2025-10-19 0.010281 0.014471 0.020600 0.030562 0.047050 0.074646 0.127688
2025-10-26 0.009959 0.014120 0.020265 0.030364 0.047303 0.076106 0.132579
2025-11-02 0.009661 0.013794 0.019953 0.030185 0.047572 0.077598 0.137637
2025-11-09 0.009394 0.013506 0.019689 0.030070 0.047938 0.079278 0.143188
2025-11-16 0.009071 0.013120 0.019256 0.029654 0.047756 0.079942 0.146737